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Serie A · Regular Season - 28 · Brazil

Corinthians v Fluminense

· Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Corinthians v Fluminense: the model read

Corinthians meet Fluminense in the Serie A regular season - 28 at Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo.

The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fluminense, 65% against 55%. Attacking output favors Fluminense on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.

Corinthians arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Santos, L 1-2 @ Coritiba, W 1-0 v Rosario Central, L 1-2 v Cruzeiro.

Fluminense are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Atletico Paranaense, W 2-1 v Remo, D 1-1 @ Independ. Rivadavia, W 3-2 v Palmeiras.

Corinthians hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fluminense 3-1 Corinthians.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Corinthians

DLWLL8-5-6

Scored 1.16 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 47.4%

  • LHSantos0-1
  • LACoritiba1-2
  • WHRosario Central1-0
  • LHCruzeiro1-2
  • DARosario Central0-0

Fluminense

DWDWD8-10-2

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 75%

  • DAAtletico Paranaense3-3
  • WHRemo2-1
  • DAIndepend. Rivadavia1-1
  • WHPalmeiras3-2
  • DHIndepend. Rivadavia0-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

CorinthiansrecordFluminense
4
3
3 draws

Goals

15-12

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Corinthians

Recent
LWLDWD
Wins 4Goals 15-12

Biggest win 3-0

Fluminense

Recent
WLWDLD
Wins 3Goals 12-15

Biggest win 3-1

  • Fluminense3-1Corinthians
  • Fluminense0-1Corinthians
  • Corinthians0-2Fluminense
  • Fluminense0-0Corinthians
  • Corinthians3-0Fluminense
  • Fluminense3-3Corinthians
  • Corinthians2-0Fluminense
  • Corinthians0-2Fluminense
  • Corinthians3-0Fluminense
  • Fluminense2-2Corinthians

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

L. Zubeldía

Argentina · 44

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • LDU Quito2022–2023
  • Lanús2018–2021
  • Cerro Porteño2018–2018
  • Alaves2017–2017

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.