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Serie A · Regular Season - 28 · Brazil

Atletico-MG v Chapecoense-sc

· MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Atletico-MG v Chapecoense-sc: the model read

Atletico-MG meet Chapecoense-sc in the Serie A regular season - 28 at MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte.

Atletico-MG rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1637 to 1432. Recent form leans Atletico-MG, 71% against 39%. Attacking output favors Atletico-MG on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.

Atletico-MG arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Cruzeiro, W 2-1 v Vitoria, D 1-1 @ Cruzeiro, D 0-0 @ Internacional.

Chapecoense-sc are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Gremio, W 1-0 v Sao Paulo, D 3-3 v Bahia, L 1-2 @ Coritiba.

Chapecoense-sc hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chapecoense-sc 0-4 Atletico-MG.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Atletico-MG

DDDWW10-7-2

Scored 1.37 · Conceded 0.74 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 52.6%

  • WHCruzeiro2-1
  • WHVitoria2-1
  • DACruzeiro1-1
  • DAInternacional0-0
  • DHRB Bragantino2-2

Chapecoense-sc

LLDWL5-5-9

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.63 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 47.4%

  • LAGremio1-3
  • WHSao Paulo1-0
  • DHBahia3-3
  • LACoritiba1-2
  • LACruzeiro0-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Atletico-MGrecordChapecoense-sc
2
3
5 draws

Goals

14-13

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Atletico-MG

Recent
WDDLWL
Wins 2Goals 14-13

Biggest win 4-0

Chapecoense-sc

Recent
LDDWLW
Wins 3Goals 13-14

Biggest win 2-0

  • Chapecoense-sc0-4Atletico-MG
  • Chapecoense-sc2-2Atletico-MG
  • Atletico-MG1-1Chapecoense-sc
  • Atletico-MG0-2Chapecoense-SC
  • Chapecoense-SC1-2Atletico-MG
  • Chapecoense-sc1-0Atletico-MG
  • Atletico-MG3-3Chapecoense-sc
  • Chapecoense-SC0-0Atletico-MG
  • Atletico-MG0-0Chapecoense-SC
  • Atletico-MG2-3Chapecoense-sc

Managers

Eduardo Dominguez

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Estudiantes L.P.2025–2026

Lacerda Rafael

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Atletico Goianiense2026–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.