Skip to content
Serie A · Regular Season - 27 · Brazil

Palmeiras v Sao Paulo

· Allianz Parque, Sao Paulo

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

Palmeiras v Sao Paulo: the model read

Palmeiras meet Sao Paulo in the Serie A regular season - 27 at Allianz Parque, Sao Paulo.

Palmeiras rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1432. Recent form leans Palmeiras, 68% against 42%. Attacking output favors Palmeiras on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.

Palmeiras arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Mirassol, W 3-0 v Santos, W 4-1 v Vasco DA Gama, W 1-0 @ Cerro Porteno.

Sao Paulo are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v RB Bragantino, L 0-1 @ Chapecoense-sc, W 3-1 v Bolívar, D 1-1 v Coritiba.

Palmeiras hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sao Paulo 0-1 Palmeiras.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Your call

Predict the result and score. The crowd split feeds the Lemeister human-network signal.

Be the first to call this one.

Sign in to lock in your prediction. Sign in

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Palmeiras

LWWWD11-5-4

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • DAMirassol1-1
  • WHSantos3-0
  • WHVasco DA Gama4-1
  • WACerro Porteno1-0
  • LAFluminense2-3

Sao Paulo

DDWLW4-8-7

Scored 1.11 · Conceded 1.21 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 68.4%

  • WHRB Bragantino2-1
  • LAChapecoense-sc0-1
  • WHBolívar3-1
  • DHCoritiba1-1
  • DABolívar1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

PalmeirasrecordSao Paulo
7
0
3 draws

Goals

14-6

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Palmeiras

Recent
WWWWWW
Wins 7Goals 14-6

Biggest win 3-1

Sao Paulo

Recent
LLLLLL
Wins 0Goals 6-14
  • Sao Paulo0-1Palmeiras
  • Palmeiras2-1Sao Paulo
  • Palmeiras3-1Sao Paulo
  • Sao Paulo2-3Palmeiras
  • Palmeiras1-0Sao Paulo
  • Palmeiras1-0Sao Paulo
  • Palmeiras0-0Sao Paulo
  • Palmeiras2-1Sao Paulo
  • Sao Paulo0-0Palmeiras
  • Sao Paulo1-1Palmeiras

Managers

Abel Ferreira

Portugal · 47

In charge since 2020 · 5 teams managed

  • PAOK2019–2020
  • Sporting Braga2017–2019
  • Sporting Braga2016–2016
  • Sporting Braga II2015–2017

Machado Roger

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Export artefact

Shareable artefact

Card

MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

Format

Unlock HD & unbranded
Share

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.