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Serie A · Regular Season - 25 · Brazil

Mirassol v Palmeiras

1-1Full time· Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol· Referee: J. Vitor Gobi

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Mirassol v Palmeiras: the model read

Mirassol meet Palmeiras in the Serie A regular season - 25 at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Palmeiras, 68% against 53%. Attacking output favors Palmeiras on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.

Mirassol arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Palmeiras, D 1-1 @ Santos, D 0-0 @ LDU de Quito, L 1-5 v Flamengo.

Palmeiras are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Mirassol, W 3-0 v Santos, W 4-1 v Vasco DA Gama, W 1-0 @ Cerro Porteno.

Palmeiras hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mirassol 1-1 Palmeiras.

The market prices MIR at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Palmeiras: a 1.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Mirassol

DLDDD7-7-6

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • DHPalmeiras1-1
  • DASantos1-1
  • DALDU de Quito0-0
  • LHFlamengo1-5
  • DHLDU de Quito1-1

Palmeiras

LWWWD11-5-4

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • DAMirassol1-1
  • WHSantos3-0
  • WHVasco DA Gama4-1
  • WACerro Porteno1-0
  • LAFluminense2-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

MirassolrecordPalmeiras
2
6
2 draws

Goals

10-17

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Mirassol

Recent
DLLWDL
Wins 2Goals 10-17

Biggest win 2-1

Palmeiras

Recent
DWWLDW
Wins 6Goals 17-10

Biggest win 3-1

  • Mirassol1-1Palmeiras
  • Palmeiras1-0Mirassol
  • Palmeiras1-0Mirassol
  • Mirassol2-1Palmeiras
  • Palmeiras1-1Mirassol
  • Mirassol2-3Palmeiras
  • Palmeiras3-1Mirassol
  • Mirassol0-2Palmeiras
  • Palmeiras1-2Mirassol
  • Palmeiras3-1Mirassol

Managers

Rafael Guanaes

Brazil · 44

In charge since 2025 · 11 teams managed

  • Atlético Goianiense2024–2025
  • Operário PR2022–2024
  • Novorizontino2022–2022
  • Tombense2021–2022

Abel Ferreira

Portugal · 47

In charge since 2020 · 5 teams managed

  • PAOK2019–2020
  • Sporting Braga2017–2019
  • Sporting Braga2016–2016
  • Sporting Braga II2015–2017

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.