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Serie A · Regular Season - 23 · Brazil

Fluminense v Palmeiras

3-2Full time· Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro· Referee: A. Daronco

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Fluminense v Palmeiras: the model read

Fluminense meet Palmeiras in the Serie A regular season - 23 at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 68%. Attacking output favors Palmeiras on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.

Fluminense arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Atletico Paranaense, W 2-1 v Remo, D 1-1 @ Independ. Rivadavia, W 3-2 v Palmeiras.

Palmeiras are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Mirassol, W 3-0 v Santos, W 4-1 v Vasco DA Gama, W 1-0 @ Cerro Porteno.

Fluminense hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fluminense 3-2 Palmeiras.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Fluminense

DWDWD8-10-2

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 75%

  • DAAtletico Paranaense3-3
  • WHRemo2-1
  • DAIndepend. Rivadavia1-1
  • WHPalmeiras3-2
  • DHIndepend. Rivadavia0-0

Palmeiras

LWWWD11-5-4

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • DAMirassol1-1
  • WHSantos3-0
  • WHVasco DA Gama4-1
  • WACerro Porteno1-0
  • LAFluminense2-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

FluminenserecordPalmeiras
4
3
3 draws

Goals

11-10

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Fluminense

Recent
WLDLWW
Wins 4Goals 11-10

Biggest win 3-2

Palmeiras

Recent
LWDWLL
Wins 3Goals 10-11

Biggest win 2-1

  • Fluminense3-2Palmeiras
  • Palmeiras2-1Fluminense
  • Palmeiras0-0Fluminense
  • Fluminense1-2Palmeiras
  • Palmeiras0-1Fluminense
  • Fluminense1-0Palmeiras
  • Palmeiras1-0Fluminense
  • Fluminense2-1Palmeiras
  • Fluminense1-1Palmeiras
  • Palmeiras1-1Fluminense

Managers

L. Zubeldía

Argentina · 44

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • LDU Quito2022–2023
  • Lanús2018–2021
  • Cerro Porteño2018–2018
  • Alaves2017–2017

Abel Ferreira

Portugal · 47

In charge since 2020 · 5 teams managed

  • PAOK2019–2020
  • Sporting Braga2017–2019
  • Sporting Braga2016–2016
  • Sporting Braga II2015–2017

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.