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Serie A · Regular Season - 21 · Brazil

Vitoria v Palmeiras

· Barradao, Salvador

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Vitoria v Palmeiras: the model read

Vitoria meet Palmeiras in the Serie A regular season - 21 at Barradao, Salvador. The model makes Palmeiras the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 29% VIT, 30% draw, 41% PAL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Palmeiras, 75% against 65%. Attacking output favors Vitoria on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Palmeiras at 59%; double chance reads Vitoria or draw 59%, Palmeiras or draw 71%.

Vitoria arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Remo, D 0-0 @ Botafogo, W 1-0 v Vasco DA Gama, W 2-1 v Fortaleza EC.

Palmeiras are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Atletico-MG, W 3-1 @ Coritiba, W 1-0 v Chapecoense-sc, W 4-1 v Junior.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Vitoria

WWWDL11-4-5

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • LARemo0-2
  • DABotafogo0-0
  • WHVasco DA Gama1-0
  • WHFortaleza EC2-1
  • WAFortaleza EC2-1

Palmeiras

WWWWL12-6-2

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • LHAtletico-MG1-2
  • WACoritiba3-1
  • WHChapecoense-sc1-0
  • WHJunior4-1
  • WAFlamengo3-0

Managers

Thiago Carpini

Brazil · 41

In charge since 2024 · 9 clubs managed

  • São Paulo2024–2024
  • Juventude2023–2024
  • Água Santa2022–2023
  • Ferroviária2022–2022

Abel Ferreira

Portugal · 47

In charge since 2020 · 6 clubs managed

  • PAOK2019–2020
  • Sporting Braga2017–2019
  • Sporting Braga2016–2016
  • Sporting Braga II2015–2017

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.