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Serie A · Regular Season - 21 · Brazil

Botafogo v Gremio

· Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

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Botafogo v Gremio: the model read

Botafogo meet Gremio in the Serie A regular season - 21 at Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro.

The baseline ratings are close, 1501 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 42%. Attacking output favors Gremio on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.

Botafogo arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v RB Bragantino, D 0-0 v Palmeiras, L 0-3 @ Flamengo, L 2-3 v Atletico Paranaense.

Gremio are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Vasco DA Gama, L 0-1 @ Vitoria, W 3-1 v Internacional, W 3-1 v Chapecoense-sc.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Botafogo

WLLDD6-5-6

Scored 1.18 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 29.4% · BTTS 52.9%

  • DHRB Bragantino1-1
  • DHPalmeiras0-0
  • LAFlamengo0-3
  • LHAtletico Paranaense2-3
  • WHCienciano1-0

Gremio

DWWLL6-4-9

Scored 1.26 · Conceded 1.42 · Clean sheets 10.5% · BTTS 68.4%

  • LHVasco DA Gama1-2
  • LAVitoria0-1
  • WHInternacional3-1
  • WHChapecoense-sc3-1
  • DAInternacional0-0

Managers

Franclim Carvalho

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Luis Castro

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.