Saudi Arabia v Jordan

Saudi Arabia meet Jordan in the Arab Cup semi-finals at Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor. The model makes Saudi Arabia the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% SAU, 31% draw, 34% JOR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Saudi Arabia, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Jordan on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Saudi Arabia at 51%; double chance reads Saudi Arabia or draw 66%, Jordan or draw 65%.

Saudi Arabia arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Cape Verde Islands, L 0-4 @ Spain, D 1-1 v Uruguay, D 0-0 v Senegal.

Jordan are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Argentina, L 1-2 v Algeria, L 1-3 @ Austria, L 0-2 @ Colombia.

Jordan hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Jordan.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.