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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27 · USA

Nashville SC v Toronto FC

· Geodis Park, Nashville

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Nashville SC v Toronto FC: the model read

Nashville SC meet Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer regular season - 27 at Geodis Park, Nashville.

Nashville SC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1443. Recent form leans Nashville SC, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors Nashville SC on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.

Nashville SC arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v FC Cincinnati, W 3-2 v Columbus Crew, W 1-0 @ New York Red Bulls, W 4-1 v Inter Miami.

Toronto FC are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v New York City FC, W 2-1 @ Inter Miami, D 3-3 v Charlotte, W 2-1 v New England Revolution.

Nashville SC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Nashville SC 1-0 Toronto FC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Nashville SC

LWWWW12-3-5

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • WHFC Cincinnati4-0
  • WHColumbus Crew3-2
  • WANew York Red Bulls1-0
  • WHInter Miami4-1
  • LAMonterrey1-2

Toronto FC

DWDWD4-10-6

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 90%

  • DHNew York City FC1-1
  • WAInter Miami2-1
  • DHCharlotte3-3
  • WHNew England Revolution2-1
  • DANew York City FC1-1

Head-to-head

9 meetings

Nashville SCrecordToronto FC
4
2
3 draws

Goals

13-10

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

44%

3+ goals

Nashville SC

Recent
WWWWDD
Wins 4Goals 13-10

Biggest win 2-0

Toronto FC

Recent
LLLLDD
Wins 2Goals 10-13

Biggest win 4-3

  • Nashville SC1-0Toronto FC
  • Toronto FC1-2Nashville SC
  • Toronto FC1-2Nashville SC
  • Nashville SC2-0Toronto FC
  • Toronto FC1-1Nashville SC
  • Nashville SC0-0Toronto FC
  • Nashville SC3-4Toronto FC
  • Toronto FC2-1Nashville SC
  • Toronto FC1-1Nashville SC

Managers

B. Callaghan

Head coach

In charge since 2024 · 2 teams managed

  • USA2023–2023

R. Fraser

USA · 59

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Colorado Rapids2019–2023
  • Toronto2015–2018
  • Chivas USA2011–2012

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.