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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27 · USA

Charlotte v Chicago Fire

· Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Charlotte v Chicago Fire: the model read

Charlotte meet Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer regular season - 27 at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte.

The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 63%. Attacking output favors Chicago Fire on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.7 per match.

Charlotte arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Atlanta United FC, W 3-1 v DC United, D 3-3 @ Toronto FC, W 3-1 v Columbus Crew.

Chicago Fire are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Seattle Sounders, L 1-2 @ Monterrey, D 1-1 @ New York Red Bulls, W 2-1 @ Orlando City SC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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Charlotte

LWDWW9-3-7

Scored 1.68 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 52.6%

  • WAAtlanta United FC2-0
  • WHDC United3-1
  • DAToronto FC3-3
  • WHColumbus Crew3-1
  • LHCF Pachuca0-1

Chicago Fire

WWDLD11-3-6

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 85%

  • DASeattle Sounders2-2
  • LAMonterrey1-2
  • DANew York Red Bulls1-1
  • WAOrlando City SC2-1
  • WHPortland Timbers2-1

Managers

D. Smith

England · 54

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • Leicester City2023–2023
  • Norwich City2021–2022
  • Aston Villa2018–2021
  • Brentford2015–2018

Mario Barcena

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.