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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 26 · USA

Houston Dynamo v FC Cincinnati

· Shell Energy Stadium, Houston

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Houston Dynamo v FC Cincinnati: the model read

Houston Dynamo meet FC Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer regular season - 26 at Shell Energy Stadium, Houston.

The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Houston Dynamo, 75% against 63%. Attacking output favors FC Cincinnati on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.4 per match.

Houston Dynamo arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v San Jose Earthquakes, L 1-2 @ St. Louis City, W 1-0 @ Vancouver Whitecaps, W 1-0 v Los Angeles Galaxy.

FC Cincinnati are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Nashville SC, D 1-1 v Seattle Sounders, W 2-1 v New York City FC, D 1-1 @ Orlando City SC.

FC Cincinnati hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Houston Dynamo 1-1 FC Cincinnati.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Houston Dynamo

WWWLD13-4-3

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 35%

  • DHSan Jose Earthquakes0-0
  • LASt. Louis City1-2
  • WAVancouver Whitecaps1-0
  • WHLos Angeles Galaxy1-0
  • WANew England Revolution2-0

FC Cincinnati

LDWDL9-7-4

Scored 2.45 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 85%

  • LANashville SC0-4
  • DHSeattle Sounders1-1
  • WHNew York City FC2-1
  • DAOrlando City SC1-1
  • LHAtlas1-2

Head-to-head

5 meetings

Houston DynamorecordFC Cincinnati
0
2
3 draws

Goals

6-8

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Houston Dynamo

Recent
DDLDL
Wins 0Goals 6-8

FC Cincinnati

Recent
DDWDW
Wins 2Goals 8-6

Biggest win 2-1

  • Houston Dynamo1-1FC Cincinnati
  • FC Cincinnati1-1Houston Dynamo
  • FC Cincinnati2-1Houston Dynamo
  • Houston Dynamo1-1FC Cincinnati
  • FC Cincinnati3-2Houston Dynamo

Managers

J. Guerra

Venezuela · 38

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Phoenix Rising2022–2024
  • Oakland Roots2022–2022

P. Noonan

USA · 45

In charge since 2022 · 2 teams managed

  • Philadelphia Union2018–2022

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.