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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 25 · USA

Orlando City SC v Toronto FC

· Exploria Stadium, Orlando

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Orlando City SC v Toronto FC: the model read

Orlando City SC meet Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer regular season - 25 at Exploria Stadium, Orlando.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Orlando City SC, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Orlando City SC on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.5 per match.

Orlando City SC arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Minnesota United FC, W 2-1 v Real Salt Lake, L 1-2 v Chicago Fire, D 1-1 v FC Cincinnati.

Toronto FC are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v New York City FC, W 2-1 @ Inter Miami, D 3-3 v Charlotte, W 2-1 v New England Revolution.

Orlando City SC hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Toronto FC 4-2 Orlando City SC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Orlando City SC

DDLWD9-4-7

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 1.95 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 80%

  • DAMinnesota United FC3-3
  • WHReal Salt Lake2-1
  • LHChicago Fire1-2
  • DHFC Cincinnati1-1
  • DHAtletico San Luis2-2

Toronto FC

DWDWD4-10-6

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 90%

  • DHNew York City FC1-1
  • WAInter Miami2-1
  • DHCharlotte3-3
  • WHNew England Revolution2-1
  • DANew York City FC1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Orlando City SCrecordToronto FC
7
2
1 draw

Goals

24-12

for each

Avg goals

3.6

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

Orlando City SC

Recent
LWWLWW
Wins 7Goals 24-12

Biggest win 4-0

Toronto FC

Recent
WLLWLL
Wins 2Goals 12-24

Biggest win 4-2

  • Toronto FC4-2Orlando City SC
  • Orlando City SC4-2Toronto FC
  • Toronto FC1-2Orlando City SC
  • Orlando City SC1-2Toronto FC
  • Toronto FC0-2Orlando City SC
  • Orlando City SC4-0Toronto FC
  • Orlando City SC4-0Toronto FC
  • Toronto FC0-1Orlando City SC
  • Toronto FC1-1Orlando City SC
  • Toronto FC2-3Orlando City SC

Managers

Ó. Pareja

Colombia · 57

In charge since 2019 · 4 teams managed

  • Tijuana2018–2019
  • Dallas2014–2018
  • Colorado Rapids2012–2014

R. Fraser

USA · 59

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Colorado Rapids2019–2023
  • Toronto2015–2018
  • Chivas USA2011–2012

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.