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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 25 · USA

FC Cincinnati v Charlotte

· TQL Stadium, Cincinnati

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Match analysisPre-match brief

FC Cincinnati v Charlotte: the model read

FC Cincinnati meet Charlotte in the Major League Soccer regular season - 25 at TQL Stadium, Cincinnati.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 55%. Attacking output favors FC Cincinnati on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.7 per match.

FC Cincinnati arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Nashville SC, D 1-1 v Seattle Sounders, W 2-1 v New York City FC, D 1-1 @ Orlando City SC.

Charlotte are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Atlanta United FC, W 3-1 v DC United, D 3-3 @ Toronto FC, W 3-1 v Columbus Crew.

Charlotte hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Charlotte 2-2 FC Cincinnati.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FC Cincinnati

LDWDL9-7-4

Scored 2.45 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 85%

  • LANashville SC0-4
  • DHSeattle Sounders1-1
  • WHNew York City FC2-1
  • DAOrlando City SC1-1
  • LHAtlas1-2

Charlotte

LWDWW9-3-7

Scored 1.68 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 52.6%

  • WAAtlanta United FC2-0
  • WHDC United3-1
  • DAToronto FC3-3
  • WHColumbus Crew3-1
  • LHCF Pachuca0-1

Head-to-head

9 meetings

FC CincinnatirecordCharlotte
2
4
3 draws

Goals

11-13

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

44%

both scored

Over 2.5

44%

3+ goals

FC Cincinnati

Recent
DLLLDW
Wins 2Goals 11-13

Biggest win 3-0

Charlotte

Recent
DWWWDL
Wins 4Goals 13-11

Biggest win 2-0

  • Charlotte2-2FC Cincinnati
  • FC Cincinnati0-1Charlotte
  • Charlotte2-0FC Cincinnati
  • FC Cincinnati1-3Charlotte
  • Charlotte1-1FC Cincinnati
  • FC Cincinnati3-0Charlotte
  • Charlotte2-2FC Cincinnati
  • FC Cincinnati2-0Charlotte
  • Charlotte2-0FC Cincinnati

Managers

P. Noonan

USA · 45

In charge since 2022 · 2 teams managed

  • Philadelphia Union2018–2022

D. Smith

England · 54

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • Leicester City2023–2023
  • Norwich City2021–2022
  • Aston Villa2018–2021
  • Brentford2015–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.