Where the market is wrong on Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles FC
Real Salt Lake meet Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer regular season - 23 at America First Field, Sandy.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Los Angeles FC, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Real Salt Lake on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Real Salt Lake arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Colorado Rapids, L 0-3 @ Leon, L 1-2 @ Orlando City SC, L 3-4 v FC Dallas.
Los Angeles FC are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ DC United, D 1-1 v Portland Timbers, L 0-1 @ Colorado Rapids, L 0-1 v San Diego.
Los Angeles FC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Los Angeles FC 3-1 Real Salt Lake.
The market prices REA at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
