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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 23 · USA

Austin v San Jose Earthquakes

· Q2 Stadium, Austin

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Austin v San Jose Earthquakes: the model read

Austin meet San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer regular season - 23 at Q2 Stadium, Austin.

The baseline ratings are close, 1516 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors San Jose Earthquakes on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.

Austin arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Portland Timbers, L 0-2 @ Toluca, D 1-1 v Philadelphia Union, W 2-1 @ Seattle Sounders.

San Jose Earthquakes are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Houston Dynamo, L 1-5 v Minnesota United FC, L 0-1 @ Los Angeles Galaxy, L 1-3 v St. Louis City.

The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: San Jose Earthquakes 5-1 Austin.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Austin

LWDLW8-3-8

Scored 1.37 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 42.1%

  • WAPortland Timbers2-1
  • LAToluca0-2
  • DHPhiladelphia Union1-1
  • WASeattle Sounders2-1
  • LHFC Dallas1-2

San Jose Earthquakes

LLLLD7-4-9

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.90 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 75%

  • DAHouston Dynamo0-0
  • LHMinnesota United FC1-5
  • LALos Angeles Galaxy0-1
  • LHSt. Louis City1-3
  • LAFC Cincinnati2-4

Head-to-head

10 meetings

AustinrecordSan Jose Earthquakes
2
2
6 draws

Goals

19-21

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

Austin

Recent
LLWDDW
Wins 2Goals 19-21

Biggest win 3-1

San Jose Earthquakes

Recent
WWLDDL
Wins 2Goals 21-19

Biggest win 5-1

  • San Jose Earthquakes5-1Austin
  • San Jose Earthquakes2-1Austin
  • Austin3-1San Jose Earthquakes
  • San Jose Earthquakes1-1Austin
  • San Jose Earthquakes1-1Austin
  • Austin4-3San Jose Earthquakes
  • San Jose Earthquakes1-1Austin
  • Austin2-2San Jose Earthquakes
  • Austin3-3San Jose Earthquakes
  • San Jose Earthquakes2-2Austin

Managers

Davy Arnaud

Head coach

In charge since 2026

B. Arena

USA · 74

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • New England2019–2023
  • United States2016–2017
  • LA Galaxy2008–2016
  • New York RB2006–2007

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.