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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 23 · USA

Charlotte v Houston Dynamo

· Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Charlotte v Houston Dynamo

Charlotte meet Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer regular season - 23 at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte.

Houston Dynamo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1553. Recent form leans Houston Dynamo, 75% against 55%. Attacking output favors Charlotte on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.

Charlotte arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Atlanta United FC, W 3-1 v DC United, D 3-3 @ Toronto FC, W 3-1 v Columbus Crew.

Houston Dynamo are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v San Jose Earthquakes, L 1-2 @ St. Louis City, W 1-0 @ Vancouver Whitecaps, W 1-0 v Los Angeles Galaxy.

Charlotte hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Houston Dynamo 1-0 Charlotte.

The market prices CHA at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Houston Dynamo: a 9.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Charlotte

LWDWW9-3-7

Scored 1.68 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 52.6%

  • WAAtlanta United FC2-0
  • WHDC United3-1
  • DAToronto FC3-3
  • WHColumbus Crew3-1
  • LHCF Pachuca0-1

Houston Dynamo

WWWLD13-4-3

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 35%

  • DHSan Jose Earthquakes0-0
  • LASt. Louis City1-2
  • WAVancouver Whitecaps1-0
  • WHLos Angeles Galaxy1-0
  • WANew England Revolution2-0

Head-to-head

3 meetings

CharlotterecordHouston Dynamo
2
1
0 draws

Goals

4-3

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Charlotte

Recent
LWW
Wins 2Goals 4-3

Biggest win 2-1

Houston Dynamo

Recent
WLL
Wins 1Goals 3-4

Biggest win 1-0

  • Houston Dynamo1-0Charlotte
  • Charlotte2-1Houston Dynamo
  • Houston Dynamo1-2Charlotte

Managers

D. Smith

England · 54

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • Leicester City2023–2023
  • Norwich City2021–2022
  • Aston Villa2018–2021
  • Brentford2015–2018

J. Guerra

Venezuela · 38

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Phoenix Rising2022–2024
  • Oakland Roots2022–2022

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.