Where the market is wrong on Orlando City SC v San Diego
Orlando City SC meet San Diego in the Major League Soccer regular season - 23 at Exploria Stadium, Orlando.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Orlando City SC, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Orlando City SC on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.6 per match.
Orlando City SC arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Minnesota United FC, W 2-1 v Real Salt Lake, L 1-2 v Chicago Fire, D 1-1 v FC Cincinnati.
San Diego are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Los Angeles Galaxy, W 3-0 v Colorado Rapids, L 1-3 @ Portland Timbers, W 1-0 @ Los Angeles FC.
The market prices ORL at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
