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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 22 · USA

Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake

1-0Full time· Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade City· Referee: Rosendo Mendoza, USA

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake

Colorado Rapids meet Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer regular season - 22 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade City.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors Real Salt Lake on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.

Colorado Rapids arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Real Salt Lake, L 0-3 @ San Diego, W 1-0 v Los Angeles FC, W 2-0 v Sporting Kansas City.

Real Salt Lake are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Colorado Rapids, L 0-3 @ Leon, L 1-2 @ Orlando City SC, L 3-4 v FC Dallas.

Real Salt Lake hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Colorado Rapids 1-0 Real Salt Lake.

The market prices COL at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Real Salt Lake: a 7.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Colorado Rapids

WWWLW9-3-8

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 35%

  • WHReal Salt Lake1-0
  • LASan Diego0-3
  • WHLos Angeles FC1-0
  • WHSporting Kansas City2-0
  • WHAustin1-0

Real Salt Lake

DLLLL7-4-9

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • LAColorado Rapids0-1
  • LALeon0-3
  • LAOrlando City SC1-2
  • LHFC Dallas3-4
  • DHMinnesota United FC1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Colorado RapidsrecordReal Salt Lake
4
6
0 draws

Goals

11-15

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Colorado Rapids

Recent
WLLWWL
Wins 4Goals 11-15

Biggest win 1-0

Real Salt Lake

Recent
LWWLLW
Wins 6Goals 15-11

Biggest win 5-3

  • Colorado Rapids1-0Real Salt Lake
  • Real Salt Lake2-1Colorado Rapids
  • Real Salt Lake1-0Colorado Rapids
  • Colorado Rapids1-0Real Salt Lake
  • Colorado Rapids3-2Real Salt Lake
  • Real Salt Lake5-3Colorado Rapids
  • Real Salt Lake1-2Colorado Rapids
  • Colorado Rapids0-1Real Salt Lake
  • Real Salt Lake2-0Colorado Rapids
  • Colorado Rapids0-1Real Salt Lake

Managers

Matt Wells

Head coach

In charge since 2026

P. Mastroeni

USA · 49

In charge since 2021 · 2 teams managed

  • Colorado Rapids2014–2017

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.