Where the market is wrong on Los Angeles FC v Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC meet Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer regular season - 21 at BMO Stadium, Los Angeles.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 55%. Attacking output favors Portland Timbers on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Portland Timbers at 51%; double chance reads Los Angeles FC or draw 64%, Portland Timbers or draw 65%.
Los Angeles FC arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Portland Timbers, L 0-1 @ Colorado Rapids, L 0-1 v San Diego, D 1-1 v Club Queretaro.
Portland Timbers are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Los Angeles FC, W 3-1 v San Diego, L 1-2 @ Chicago Fire, W 3-1 v Club Tijuana.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Portland Timbers.
The market prices LOS at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Portland Timbers: a 14.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
