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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 21 · USA

New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire

1-1Full time· Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison· Referee: Sergii Demianchuk, USA

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Match analysisPre-match brief

New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire: the model read

New York Red Bulls meet Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer regular season - 21 at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison.

Chicago Fire rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1443. Recent form leans Chicago Fire, 63% against 40%. Attacking output favors Chicago Fire on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.

New York Red Bulls arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Philadelphia Union, D 1-1 v Chicago Fire, L 0-1 v Nashville SC, L 1-2 @ Atlanta United FC.

Chicago Fire are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Seattle Sounders, L 1-2 @ Monterrey, D 1-1 @ New York Red Bulls, W 2-1 @ Orlando City SC.

Chicago Fire hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: New York Red Bulls 1-1 Chicago Fire.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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New York Red Bulls

WLLDL6-4-10

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 2.25 · Clean sheets 0% · BTTS 80%

  • LHPhiladelphia Union1-3
  • DHChicago Fire1-1
  • LHNashville SC0-1
  • LAAtlanta United FC1-2
  • WHOrlando City SC3-2

Chicago Fire

WWDLD11-3-6

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 85%

  • DASeattle Sounders2-2
  • LAMonterrey1-2
  • DANew York Red Bulls1-1
  • WAOrlando City SC2-1
  • WHPortland Timbers2-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

New York Red BullsrecordChicago Fire
2
3
5 draws

Goals

13-13

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

New York Red Bulls

Recent
DWLWLD
Wins 2Goals 13-13

Biggest win 3-1

Chicago Fire

Recent
DLWLWD
Wins 3Goals 13-13

Biggest win 1-0

  • New York Red Bulls1-1Chicago Fire
  • Chicago Fire1-3New York Red Bulls
  • Chicago Fire1-0New York Red Bulls
  • New York Red Bulls2-1Chicago Fire
  • Chicago Fire2-1New York Red Bulls
  • New York Red Bulls0-0Chicago Fire
  • Chicago Fire2-2New York Red Bulls
  • New York Red Bulls0-1Chicago Fire
  • Chicago Fire1-1New York Red Bulls
  • New York Red Bulls3-3Chicago Fire

Managers

S. Schwarz

Germany · 47

In charge since 2024 · 7 teams managed

  • Hertha Berlin2022–2023
  • Dinamo Moscow2020–2022
  • Mainz2017–2019
  • Mainz 05 II2015–2017

Mario Barcena

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.