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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 19 · USA

Toronto FC v New England Revolution

2-1Full time· BMO Field, Toronto· Referee: Joseph Dickerson, USA

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Toronto FC v New England Revolution: the model read

Toronto FC meet New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer regular season - 19 at BMO Field, Toronto.

The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1560, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans New England Revolution, 58% against 45%. Attacking output favors New England Revolution on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.

Toronto FC arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v New York City FC, W 2-1 @ Inter Miami, D 3-3 v Charlotte, W 2-1 v New England Revolution.

New England Revolution are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Columbus Crew, D 1-1 v New York City FC, W 3-0 @ DC United, L 1-2 @ Toronto FC.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Toronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Toronto FC

DWDWD4-10-6

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 90%

  • DHNew York City FC1-1
  • WAInter Miami2-1
  • DHCharlotte3-3
  • WHNew England Revolution2-1
  • DANew York City FC1-1

New England Revolution

LLWDW8-5-5

Scored 1.56 · Conceded 1.28 · Clean sheets 16.7% · BTTS 66.7%

  • WAColumbus Crew3-1
  • DHNew York City FC1-1
  • WADC United3-0
  • LAToronto FC1-2
  • LHHouston Dynamo0-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Toronto FCrecordNew England Revolution
3
3
4 draws

Goals

8-10

for each

Avg goals

1.8

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

30%

3+ goals

Toronto FC

Recent
WDDLWW
Wins 3Goals 8-10

Biggest win 2-1

New England Revolution

Recent
LDDWLL
Wins 3Goals 10-8

Biggest win 2-0

  • Toronto FC2-1New England Revolution
  • New England Revolution0-0Toronto FC
  • New England Revolution1-1Toronto FC
  • Toronto FC0-2New England Revolution
  • Toronto FC1-0New England Revolution
  • New England Revolution0-1Toronto FC
  • New England Revolution2-1Toronto FC
  • Toronto FC0-2New England Revolution
  • Toronto FC2-2New England Revolution
  • New England Revolution0-0Toronto FC

Managers

R. Fraser

USA · 59

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Colorado Rapids2019–2023
  • Toronto2015–2018
  • Chivas USA2011–2012
Away coach unavailable.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.