Where the market is wrong on Colorado Rapids v San Diego
Colorado Rapids meet San Diego in the Major League Soccer regular season - 18. The model makes Colorado Rapids the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% COL, 28% draw, 34% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 48%. Attacking output favors San Diego on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 78%. Draw no bet leans Colorado Rapids at 52%; double chance reads Colorado Rapids or draw 66%, San Diego or draw 62%.
Colorado Rapids arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v FC Juarez, L 1-2 v FC Dallas, W 2-0 v San Jose Earthquakes, L 1-2 @ Real Salt Lake.
San Diego are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 13 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Vancouver Whitecaps, D 3-3 v FC Cincinnati, W 5-0 v Austin, D 1-1 @ Seattle Sounders.
Colorado Rapids hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Colorado Rapids 1-0 San Diego.
The market prices COL at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on San Diego: a 6.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
