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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 16 · USA

Columbus Crew v New York City FC

1-2Full time· ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus· Referee: L. Hernandez

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Columbus Crew v New York City FC: the model read

Columbus Crew meet New York City FC in the Major League Soccer regular season - 16 at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus. The model makes New York City FC the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 34% COL, 29% draw, 37% NEW.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors New York City FC on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans New York City FC at 52%; double chance reads Columbus Crew or draw 63%, New York City FC or draw 66%.

Columbus Crew arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v FC Cincinnati, L 1-2 v New York City FC, D 1-1 v Burnley, W 2-0 v Atlanta United FC.

New York City FC are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Chicago Fire, W 2-1 @ Columbus Crew, L 1-2 @ Nashville SC, L 0-1 @ Columbus Crew.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Columbus Crew 1-2 New York City FC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Columbus Crew

WWDLW8-5-7

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • WHFC Cincinnati2-1
  • LHNew York City FC1-2
  • DHBurnley1-1
  • WHAtlanta United FC2-0
  • WHNew York City FC1-0

New York City FC

DLLWW9-4-7

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • WHChicago Fire3-1
  • WAColumbus Crew2-1
  • LANashville SC1-2
  • LAColumbus Crew0-1
  • DANew York Red Bulls1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Columbus CrewrecordNew York City FC
3
3
4 draws

Goals

14-15

for each

Avg goals

2.9

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Columbus Crew

Recent
LWLLDW
Wins 3Goals 14-15

Biggest win 4-2

New York City FC

Recent
WLWWDL
Wins 3Goals 15-14

Biggest win 3-0

  • Columbus Crew1-2New York City FC
  • Columbus Crew1-0New York City FC
  • New York City FC3-0Columbus Crew
  • New York City FC3-2Columbus Crew
  • Columbus Crew0-0New York City FC
  • Columbus Crew4-2New York City FC
  • Columbus Crew1-1New York City FC
  • New York City FC2-3Columbus Crew
  • Columbus Crew1-1New York City FC
  • New York City FC1-1Columbus Crew

Managers

W. Nancy

Head coach

In charge since 2023 · 2 clubs managed

  • Montreal Impact2021–2022

N. Cushing

Head coach

In charge since 2022 · 2 clubs managed

  • Manchester City W2019–2020

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.