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World Cup · Group Stage - 3 · World

New Zealand v Belgium

1-5Full time· BC Place, Vancouver· Referee: Adham Mohammad, Jordan

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Match analysisPre-match brief

New Zealand v Belgium: the model read

New Zealand meet Belgium in the World Cup group stage - 3 at BC Place, Vancouver.

Belgium rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1454. Recent form leans Belgium, 75% against 40%. Attacking output favors Belgium on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.1 per match.

New Zealand arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Belgium, L 1-3 v Egypt, D 2-2 @ Iran, L 0-1 @ England.

Belgium are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Spain, W 4-1 @ USA, W 3-2 v Senegal, W 5-1 @ New Zealand.

Belgium hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: New Zealand 1-5 Belgium.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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New Zealand

LLDLL7-2-11

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 45%

  • LHBelgium1-5
  • LHEgypt1-3
  • DAIran2-2
  • LAEngland0-1
  • LAHaiti0-4

Belgium

DWWWL12-6-2

Scored 3.00 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 60%

  • LASpain1-2
  • WAUSA4-1
  • WHSenegal3-2
  • WANew Zealand5-1
  • DHIran0-0

Head-to-head

1 meeting

New ZealandrecordBelgium
0
1
0 draws

Goals

1-5

for each

Avg goals

6.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

New Zealand

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 1-5

Belgium

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 5-1

Biggest win 5-1

  • New Zealand1-5Belgium

Managers

D. Bazeley

England · 53

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • New Zealand U232023–2023
  • New Zealand U192022–2023
  • New Zealand U202017–2017
  • Wanderers2013–2015

R. Garcia

France · 61

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • Napoli2023–2023
  • Al Nassr2022–2023
  • Lyon2019–2021
  • Marseille2016–2019

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.