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World Cup · Group Stage - 3 · World

Tunisia v Netherlands

1-3Full time· Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City· Referee: Katia García, Mexico

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Tunisia v Netherlands: the model read

Tunisia meet Netherlands in the World Cup group stage - 3 at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City.

Netherlands rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1466. Recent form leans Netherlands, 75% against 45%. Attacking output favors Netherlands on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.4 per match.

Tunisia arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Netherlands, L 0-4 v Japan, L 1-5 @ Sweden, L 0-5 @ Belgium.

Netherlands are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Morocco, W 3-1 @ Tunisia, W 5-1 v Sweden, D 2-2 v Japan.

Netherlands hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tunisia 1-3 Netherlands.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Tunisia

LLLLL6-6-8

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • LHNetherlands1-3
  • LHJapan0-4
  • LASweden1-5
  • LABelgium0-5
  • LAAustria0-1

Netherlands

WDWWD11-8-1

Scored 2.65 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • DHMorocco1-1
  • WATunisia3-1
  • WHSweden5-1
  • DHJapan2-2
  • WHUzbekistan2-1

Head-to-head

1 meeting

TunisiarecordNetherlands
0
1
0 draws

Goals

1-3

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Tunisia

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 1-3

Netherlands

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 3-1

Biggest win 3-1

  • Tunisia1-3Netherlands

Managers

Sabri Lamouchi

Head coach

In charge since 2026

R. Koeman

Netherlands · 62

In charge since 2023 · 11 teams managed

  • Barcelona2020–2021
  • Netherlands2018–2020
  • Everton2016–2017
  • Southampton2014–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.