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World Cup · Group Stage - 2 · World

Panama v Croatia

0-1Full time· BMO Field, Toronto· Referee: Pierre Ghislain Atcho, Gabon

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Panama v Croatia: the model read

Panama meet Croatia in the World Cup group stage - 2 at BMO Field, Toronto.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 65%. Attacking output favors Croatia on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.

Panama arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v England, L 0-1 v Croatia, L 0-1 @ Ghana, D 1-1 v Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Croatia are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Portugal, W 2-1 v Ghana, W 1-0 @ Panama, L 2-4 @ England.

Croatia hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Panama 0-1 Croatia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Panama

WDLLL8-7-5

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LHEngland0-2
  • LHCroatia0-1
  • LAGhana0-1
  • DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1
  • WHDominican Republic4-2

Croatia

WLWWL12-2-6

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • LAPortugal1-2
  • WHGhana2-1
  • WAPanama1-0
  • LAEngland2-4
  • WHSlovenia2-1

Head-to-head

1 meeting

PanamarecordCroatia
0
1
0 draws

Goals

0-1

for each

Avg goals

1.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Panama

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 0-1

Croatia

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 1-0

Biggest win 1-0

  • Panama0-1Croatia

Managers

Thomas Christiansen

Spain · 52

In charge since 2020 · 5 teams managed

  • Union Saint-Gilloise2019–2020
  • Leeds United2017–2018
  • APOEL2016–2017
  • AEK Larnaca2014–2016

Z. Dalić

Croatia · 59

In charge since 2017 · 4 teams managed

  • Al Ain2014–2017
  • Al Hilal2013–2013
  • Al Faisaly2010–2012

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.