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World Cup · Group Stage - 2 · World

Spain v Saudi Arabia

4-0Full time· Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta· Referee: Raphael Claus, Brazil

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Spain v Saudi Arabia: the model read

Spain meet Saudi Arabia in the World Cup group stage - 2 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.

Spain rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1758 to 1504. Recent form leans Spain, 87% against 50%. Attacking output favors Spain on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.1 per match.

Spain arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Argentina, W 2-0 @ France, W 2-1 v Belgium, W 1-0 @ Portugal.

Saudi Arabia are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Cape Verde Islands, L 0-4 @ Spain, D 1-1 v Uruguay, D 0-0 v Senegal.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Spain

WWWWW14-5-0

Scored 2.32 · Conceded 0.37 · Clean sheets 73.7% · BTTS 26.3%

  • WHArgentina1-0
  • WAFrance2-0
  • WHBelgium2-1
  • WAPortugal1-0
  • WHAustria3-0

Saudi Arabia

WDDLD7-5-7

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.26 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 47.4%

  • DACape Verde Islands0-0
  • LASpain0-4
  • DHUruguay1-1
  • DHSenegal0-0
  • WAPuerto Rico3-0

Managers

S. Ndaba

South Africa

In charge since 2024

G. Donis

Greece · 56

In charge since 2026 · 11 teams managed

  • Al Wehda2023–2024
  • Al Fateh2022–2023
  • Al Wehda2021–2021
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv2020–2020

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.