AustraliaUSA v Australia: the model read
USA meet Australia in the World Cup group stage - 2 at Lumen Field, Seattle.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 63%. Attacking output favors USA on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
USA arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Belgium, W 2-0 v Bosnia & Herzegovina, L 2-3 @ Türkiye, W 2-0 v Australia.
Australia are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Egypt, D 0-0 @ Paraguay, L 0-2 @ USA, W 2-0 v Türkiye.
USA hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: USA 2-0 Australia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
