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World Cup · Group Stage - 2 · World

Canada v Qatar

6-0Full time· BC Place, Vancouver· Referee: Cristian Garay, Chile

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Canada v Qatar: the model read

Canada meet Qatar in the World Cup group stage - 2 at BC Place, Vancouver.

Canada rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Canada, 65% against 26%. Attacking output favors Canada on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.6 per match.

Canada arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ South Africa, L 1-2 @ Switzerland, W 6-0 v Qatar.

Qatar are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Bosnia & Herzegovina, L 0-6 @ Canada, D 1-1 v Switzerland, D 0-0 v El Salvador.

Canada hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Canada 6-0 Qatar.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Canada

DWLWL9-8-3

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 30%

  • LHMorocco0-3
  • WASouth Africa1-0
  • LASwitzerland1-2
  • WHQatar6-0
  • DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1

Qatar

LDDLL2-5-10

Scored 0.65 · Conceded 1.88 · Clean sheets 17.6% · BTTS 47.1%

  • LABosnia & Herzegovina1-3
  • LACanada0-6
  • DHSwitzerland1-1
  • DHEl Salvador0-0
  • LARep. Of Ireland0-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

CanadarecordQatar
2
0
0 draws

Goals

8-0

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Canada

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 8-0

Biggest win 6-0

Qatar

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 0-8
  • Canada6-0Qatar
  • Qatar0-2Canada

Managers

J. Marsch

USA · 52

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Leeds United2022–2023
  • RB Leipzig2021–2021
  • Salzburg2019–2021
  • New York RB2015–2018

Lopetegui

Spain · 59

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • West Ham United2024–2025
  • Qatar2023–2026
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers2022–2023
  • Sevilla2019–2022

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.