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World Cup · Group Stage - 1 · World

Uzbekistan v Colombia

1-3Full time· Estadio Banorte, Mexico City· Referee: Anthony Taylor, England

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Uzbekistan v Colombia: the model read

Uzbekistan meet Colombia in the World Cup group stage - 1 at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Colombia, 65% against 55%. Attacking output favors Colombia on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.5 per match.

Uzbekistan arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Congo DR, L 0-5 @ Portugal, L 1-3 v Colombia, L 1-2 @ Netherlands.

Colombia are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Switzerland, W 1-0 v Ghana, D 0-0 v Portugal, W 1-0 v Congo DR.

Colombia hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Uzbekistan

LLLLL8-6-6

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • LACongo DR1-3
  • LAPortugal0-5
  • LHColombia1-3
  • LANetherlands1-2
  • LACanada0-2

Colombia

WWDWD10-6-4

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • DASwitzerland0-0
  • WHGhana1-0
  • DHPortugal0-0
  • WHCongo DR1-0
  • WAUzbekistan3-1

Head-to-head

1 meeting

UzbekistanrecordColombia
0
1
0 draws

Goals

1-3

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Uzbekistan

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 1-3

Colombia

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 3-1

Biggest win 3-1

  • Uzbekistan1-3Colombia

Managers

F. Cannavaro

Italy · 52

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • Dinamo Zagreb2025–2025
  • Udinese2024–2024
  • Benevento2022–2023
  • China PR2019–2019

N. Lorenzo

Argentina · 59

In charge since 2022 · 2 teams managed

  • Melgar2021–2022

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.