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World Cup · Group Stage - 1 · World

France v Senegal

3-1Full time· MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford· Referee: Alireza Faghani, Australia

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Match analysisPre-match brief

France v Senegal: the model read

France meet Senegal in the World Cup group stage - 1 at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford.

The baseline ratings are close, 1719 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans France, 78% against 68%. Attacking output favors Senegal on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.5 per match.

France arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 4-6 v England, L 0-2 v Spain, W 2-0 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ Paraguay.

Senegal are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Belgium, W 5-0 v Iraq, L 2-3 @ Norway, L 1-3 @ France.

France hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: France 3-1 Senegal.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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France

WWWLL15-1-4

Scored 2.55 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • LHEngland4-6
  • LHSpain0-2
  • WHMorocco2-0
  • WAParaguay1-0
  • WHSweden3-0

Senegal

DLLWL12-2-5

Scored 2.58 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 52.6% · BTTS 42.1%

  • LABelgium2-3
  • WHIraq5-0
  • LANorway2-3
  • LAFrance1-3
  • DASaudi Arabia0-0

Head-to-head

1 meeting

FrancerecordSenegal
1
0
0 draws

Goals

3-1

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

France

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 3-1

Biggest win 3-1

Senegal

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 1-3
  • France3-1Senegal

Managers

D. Deschamps

France · 57

In charge since 2012 · 4 teams managed

  • Marseille2009–2012
  • Juventus2006–2007
  • Monaco2001–2005

Joseph Senghor

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.