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World Cup · Group Stage - 1 · World

Saudi Arabia v Uruguay

1-1Full time· Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens· Referee: Maurizio Mariani, Italy

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Saudi Arabia v Uruguay: the model read

Saudi Arabia meet Uruguay in the World Cup group stage - 1 at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens.

The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Saudi Arabia on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.

Saudi Arabia arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Cape Verde Islands, L 0-4 @ Spain, D 1-1 v Uruguay, D 0-0 v Senegal.

Uruguay are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Spain, D 2-2 v Cape Verde Islands, D 1-1 @ Saudi Arabia, D 0-0 @ Algeria.

Uruguay hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Saudi Arabia

WDDLD7-5-7

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.26 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 47.4%

  • DACape Verde Islands0-0
  • LASpain0-4
  • DHUruguay1-1
  • DHSenegal0-0
  • WAPuerto Rico3-0

Uruguay

DDDDL5-10-5

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 35%

  • LHSpain0-1
  • DHCape Verde Islands2-2
  • DASaudi Arabia1-1
  • DAAlgeria0-0
  • DAEngland1-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Saudi ArabiarecordUruguay
0
1
1 draw

Goals

1-2

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Saudi Arabia

Recent
DL
Wins 0Goals 1-2

Uruguay

Recent
DW
Wins 1Goals 2-1

Biggest win 1-0

  • Saudi Arabia1-1Uruguay
  • Uruguay1-0Saudi Arabia

Managers

G. Donis

Greece · 56

In charge since 2026 · 11 teams managed

  • Al Wehda2023–2024
  • Al Fateh2022–2023
  • Al Wehda2021–2021
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv2020–2020

M. Bielsa

Argentina · 70

In charge since 2024 · 13 teams managed

  • Leeds United2018–2022
  • Lille2017–2017
  • Marseille2014–2015
  • Athletic Bilbao2011–2013

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.