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World Cup · Group Stage - 1 · World

Iran v New Zealand

2-2Full time· SoFi Stadium, Inglewood· Referee: César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Iran v New Zealand: the model read

Iran meet New Zealand in the World Cup group stage - 1 at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood.

The baseline ratings are close, 1547 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Iran, 58% against 40%. Attacking output favors New Zealand on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.7 per match.

Iran arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Egypt, D 0-0 @ Belgium, D 2-2 v New Zealand, W 2-0 v Mali.

New Zealand are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Belgium, L 1-3 v Egypt, D 2-2 @ Iran, L 0-1 @ England.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Iran 2-2 New Zealand.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Iran

WWDDD7-7-4

Scored 1.67 · Conceded 0.83 · Clean sheets 44.4% · BTTS 44.4%

  • DAEgypt1-1
  • DABelgium0-0
  • DHNew Zealand2-2
  • WHMali2-0
  • WHGambia3-1

New Zealand

LLDLL7-2-11

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 45%

  • LHBelgium1-5
  • LHEgypt1-3
  • DAIran2-2
  • LAEngland0-1
  • LAHaiti0-4

Head-to-head

1 meeting

IranrecordNew Zealand
0
0
1 draw

Goals

2-2

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Iran

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 2-2

New Zealand

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 2-2
  • Iran2-2New Zealand

Managers

A. Ghalenoei

Iran · 62

In charge since 2023 · 7 teams managed

  • Gol Gohar2020–2023
  • Sepahan2018–2020
  • Zob Ahan2017–2018
  • Tractor2015–2017

D. Bazeley

England · 53

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • New Zealand U232023–2023
  • New Zealand U192022–2023
  • New Zealand U202017–2017
  • Wanderers2013–2015

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.