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WSL Cup · Quarter-finals · England

Liverpool W v Chelsea W

1-9Full time· St Helens Stadium, St Helens

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Liverpool W v Chelsea W: the model read

Liverpool W meet Chelsea W in the WSL Cup quarter-finals at St Helens Stadium, St Helens. The model makes Chelsea W the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 23% LIV, 25% draw, 52% CHE.

Chelsea W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1500. Recent form leans Chelsea W, 78% against 48%. Attacking output favors Chelsea W on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Chelsea W at 69%; double chance reads Liverpool W or draw 48%, Chelsea W or draw 77%.

Liverpool W arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Arsenal W, L 2-3 v Brighton W, L 0-1 @ Manchester City W, L 0-1 v West Ham W.

Chelsea W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Manchester United W, L 2-3 v Manchester City W, W 3-1 @ Leicester City FC W, W 4-1 @ Everton W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Liverpool W

WLLLL8-3-9

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • LHArsenal W1-3
  • LHBrighton W2-3
  • LAManchester City W0-1
  • LHWest Ham W0-1
  • WACharlton Athletic W1-0

Chelsea W

WWWLW15-1-4

Scored 2.50 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • WHManchester United W1-0
  • LHManchester City W2-3
  • WALeicester City FC W3-1
  • WAEverton W4-1
  • WHTottenham Hotspur W2-1

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.