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World Cup - Qualification Europe · Semi-finals · World

Türkiye v Romania

1-0Full time· Tupras Stadium, Istanbul· Referee: F. Letexier

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Türkiye v Romania: the model read

Türkiye meet Romania in the World Cup - Qualification Europe semi-finals at Tupras Stadium, Istanbul.

The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Türkiye, 70% against 60%. Attacking output favors Türkiye on expected goals, 2.0 to 2.0 per match.

Türkiye arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v USA, L 0-1 v Paraguay, L 0-2 @ Australia, W 2-1 @ Venezuela.

Romania are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Wales, D 1-1 @ Georgia, L 0-2 @ Slovakia, L 0-1 @ Türkiye.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Türkiye

WWLLW13-2-5

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WHUSA3-2
  • LHParaguay0-1
  • LAAustralia0-2
  • WAVenezuela2-1
  • WHFYR Macedonia4-0

Romania

WLLDW11-2-7

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • WHWales2-1
  • DAGeorgia1-1
  • LASlovakia0-2
  • LATürkiye0-1
  • WHSan Marino7-1

Managers

V. Montella

Italy · 51

In charge since 2023 · 8 teams managed

  • Adana Demirspor2021–2023
  • Fiorentina2019–2019
  • Sevilla2017–2018
  • AC Milan2016–2017

M. Lucescu

Romania · 80

In charge since 2024 · 13 teams managed

  • Dinamo Kiev2020–2023
  • Türkiye2017–2019
  • Zenit2016–2017
  • Shakhtar Donetsk2004–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.