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Madagascar v Equatorial Guinea

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Madagascar v Equatorial Guinea: the model read

Madagascar meet Equatorial Guinea in the Friendlies friendlies.

Madagascar rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1528 to 1407. Recent form leans Madagascar, 53% against 36%. Attacking output favors Madagascar on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.8 per match.

Madagascar arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Morocco, D 1-1 @ Equatorial Guinea, W 5-2 @ Kyrgyzstan, W 2-0 v Equatorial Guinea.

Equatorial Guinea are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Comoros, D 1-1 v Madagascar, W 1-0 @ Kyrgyzstan, L 1-3 v Algeria.

Madagascar hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Madagascar.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Madagascar

LWWDL8-4-7

Scored 1.47 · Conceded 1.53 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 63.2%

  • LAMorocco0-4
  • DAEquatorial Guinea1-1
  • WAKyrgyzstan5-2
  • WHEquatorial Guinea2-0
  • LAMali1-4

Equatorial Guinea

LLWDL4-5-9

Scored 0.83 · Conceded 1.28 · Clean sheets 22.2% · BTTS 50%

  • LHComoros0-1
  • DHMadagascar1-1
  • WAKyrgyzstan1-0
  • LHAlgeria1-3
  • LHSudan0-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

MadagascarrecordEquatorial Guinea
3
0
1 draw

Goals

5-1

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

25%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Madagascar

Recent
DWWW
Wins 3Goals 5-1

Biggest win 2-0

Equatorial Guinea

Recent
DLLL
Wins 0Goals 1-5
  • Equatorial Guinea1-1Madagascar
  • Madagascar2-0Equatorial Guinea
  • Madagascar1-0Equatorial Guinea
  • Equatorial Guinea0-1Madagascar

Managers

C. Martins

France · 56

In charge since 2026 · 6 teams managed

  • Belouizdad2024–2024
  • Paradou AC2023–2024
  • Libya2022–2023
  • Mauritania2014–2021

Casto Nopo

Equatorial Guinea · 52

In charge since 2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.