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Guinea v Liberia

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Guinea v Liberia: the model read

Guinea meet Liberia in the Friendlies friendlies.

The baseline ratings are close, 1483 to 1434, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guinea, 50% against 41%. Attacking output favors Liberia on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.

Guinea arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Northern Ireland, L 0-1 v Benin, D 2-2 v Togo, D 1-1 v Niger.

Liberia are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Sierra Leone, L 0-1 @ Sierra Leone, D 2-2 v Libya, L 0-1 @ Benin.

Guinea hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Guinea 2-0 Liberia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Guinea

WDDLL5-8-5

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 0.94 · Clean sheets 33.3% · BTTS 44.4%

  • LANorthern Ireland0-1
  • LHBenin0-1
  • DHTogo2-2
  • DHNiger1-1
  • WHLiberia2-0

Liberia

LLDLW4-5-7

Scored 1.06 · Conceded 1.63 · Clean sheets 6.3% · BTTS 56.3%

  • WHSierra Leone3-1
  • LASierra Leone0-1
  • DHLibya2-2
  • LABenin0-1
  • LAGuinea0-2

Head-to-head

1 meeting

GuinearecordLiberia
1
0
0 draws

Goals

2-0

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Guinea

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 2-0

Biggest win 2-0

Liberia

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 0-2
  • Guinea2-0Liberia

Managers

Paulo Duarte

Portugal · 56

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • Al Kholood2024–2024
  • Togo2021–2024
  • Burkina Faso2015–2019
  • CS Sfaxien2015–2015

J. Cardozo

Paraguay · 54

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • Municipal Liberia2025–2025
  • Municipal2022–2023
  • Municipal2021–2022
  • Guadalajara2018–2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.