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Nacional B · Semi-finals · Bolivia

Real Potosí v Primero Mayo

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Real Potosí v Primero Mayo: the model read

Real Potosí meet Primero Mayo in the Nacional B semi-finals. The model makes Primero Mayo the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 30% REA, 32% draw, 38% PRI.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Primero Mayo, 67% against 55%. Attacking output favors Primero Mayo on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Primero Mayo at 56%; double chance reads Real Potosí or draw 62%, Primero Mayo or draw 70%.

Real Potosí arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Bolívar, W 2-1 @ Independiente Petrolero, W 5-0 v San Antonio Bulo Bulo, D 1-1 v Nacional Potosí.

Primero Mayo are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Real Potosí, L 0-2 @ Real Potosí, L 0-1 @ Municipal Tiquipaya, W 2-0 v Municipal Tiquipaya.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Primero Mayo 2-1 Real Potosí.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Real Potosí

WDWWL8-6-6

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 50%

  • LABolívar1-2
  • WAIndependiente Petrolero2-1
  • WHSan Antonio Bulo Bulo5-0
  • DHNacional Potosí1-1
  • WHABB3-1

Primero Mayo

LWLLW8-0-4

Scored 1.58 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 41.7% · BTTS 33.3%

  • WHReal Potosí2-1
  • LAReal Potosí0-2
  • LAMunicipal Tiquipaya0-1
  • WHMunicipal Tiquipaya2-0
  • LHTorre Fuerte1-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Real PotosírecordPrimero Mayo
1
1
0 draws

Goals

3-2

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Real Potosí

Recent
LW
Wins 1Goals 3-2

Biggest win 2-0

Primero Mayo

Recent
WL
Wins 1Goals 2-3

Biggest win 2-1

  • Primero Mayo2-1Real Potosí
  • Real Potosí2-0Primero Mayo

Managers

L. Cabrera

Head coach

In charge since 2019

Away coach unavailable.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.