2 de Mayo v Club Guarani: the model read
2 de Mayo meet Club Guarani in the Copa Paraguay semi-finals. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 31% 2 D, 34% draw, 34% CLU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 43%. Attacking output favors 2 de Mayo on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans Club Guarani at 52%; double chance reads 2 de Mayo or draw 66%, Club Guarani or draw 69%.
2 de Mayo arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Rubio NU, L 0-1 v Club Sp. San Lorenzo, D 0-0 @ Libertad Asuncion, W 2-0 v Rubio NU.
Club Guarani are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Sportivo Luqueno, L 1-2 @ Deportivo Recoleta, W 1-0 v Sportivo Ameliano, D 0-0 @ Cerro Porteno.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
