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UEFA Nations League - Women · 3rd place · World

Sweden W v France W

2-2Full time· 3Arena, Stockholm

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Sweden W v France W: the model read

Sweden W meet France W in the UEFA Nations League - Women 3rd place at 3Arena, Stockholm.

France W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1546. Recent form leans France W, 80% against 57%. Attacking output favors France W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.

Sweden W arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Italy W, L 1-2 @ Denmark W, W 1-0 v Serbia W, L 1-2 v Denmark W.

France W are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Republic of Ireland W, W 2-0 @ Poland W, D 1-1 v Netherlands W, L 1-2 @ Netherlands W.

France W hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Sweden W 2-2 France W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sweden W

DLWLD8-7-5

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • DHItaly W2-2
  • LADenmark W1-2
  • WHSerbia W1-0
  • LHDenmark W1-2
  • DASerbia W0-0

France W

WLDWW14-4-2

Scored 2.35 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • WHRepublic of Ireland W1-0
  • WAPoland W2-0
  • DHNetherlands W1-1
  • LANetherlands W1-2
  • WHPoland W4-1

Head-to-head

6 meetings

Sweden WrecordFrance W
2
3
1 draw

Goals

9-8

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

83%

3+ goals

Sweden W

Recent
DLLLWW
Wins 2Goals 9-8

Biggest win 3-0

France W

Recent
DWWWLL
Wins 3Goals 8-9

Biggest win 2-1

  • Sweden W2-2France W
  • France W2-1Sweden W
  • France W2-1Sweden W
  • Sweden W0-1France W
  • Sweden W3-0France W
  • Sweden W2-1France W

Managers

Johanna Almgren

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Laurent Bonadei

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.