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UEFA Nations League - Women · 3rd place · World

France W v Sweden W

2-1Full time· Stade Auguste-Delaune, Reims

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Match analysisPre-match brief

France W v Sweden W: the model read

France W meet Sweden W in the UEFA Nations League - Women 3rd place at Stade Auguste-Delaune, Reims.

France W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1546. Recent form leans France W, 80% against 57%. Attacking output favors France W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.

France W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Republic of Ireland W, W 2-0 @ Poland W, D 1-1 v Netherlands W, L 1-2 @ Netherlands W.

Sweden W are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Italy W, L 1-2 @ Denmark W, W 1-0 v Serbia W, L 1-2 v Denmark W.

France W hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Sweden W 2-2 France W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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France W

WLDWW14-4-2

Scored 2.35 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • WHRepublic of Ireland W1-0
  • WAPoland W2-0
  • DHNetherlands W1-1
  • LANetherlands W1-2
  • WHPoland W4-1

Sweden W

DLWLD8-7-5

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • DHItaly W2-2
  • LADenmark W1-2
  • WHSerbia W1-0
  • LHDenmark W1-2
  • DASerbia W0-0

Head-to-head

6 meetings

France WrecordSweden W
3
2
1 draw

Goals

8-9

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

83%

3+ goals

France W

Recent
DWWWLL
Wins 3Goals 8-9

Biggest win 2-1

Sweden W

Recent
DLLLWW
Wins 2Goals 9-8

Biggest win 3-0

  • Sweden W2-2France W
  • France W2-1Sweden W
  • France W2-1Sweden W
  • Sweden W0-1France W
  • Sweden W3-0France W
  • Sweden W2-1France W

Managers

Laurent Bonadei

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Johanna Almgren

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.