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UEFA Nations League - Women · Final · World

Spain W v Germany W

3-0Full time· Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Spain W v Germany W: the model read

Spain W meet Germany W in the UEFA Nations League - Women final at Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid.

The baseline ratings are close, 1799 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Spain W, 90% against 75%. Attacking output favors Spain W on expected goals, 3.2 to 2.5 per match.

Spain W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 18 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 @ Iceland W, W 4-0 v England W, W 5-0 v Ukraine W, L 0-1 @ England W.

Germany W are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Slovenia W, W 2-0 v Norway W, D 0-0 @ Austria W, W 5-1 v Austria W.

Germany W hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Spain W 3-0 Germany W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Spain W

WLWWW17-2-1

Scored 3.20 · Conceded 0.55 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • WAIceland W6-1
  • WHEngland W4-0
  • WHUkraine W5-0
  • LAEngland W0-1
  • WAUkraine W3-1

Germany W

WWDWW13-4-3

Scored 2.55 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 35%

  • WASlovenia W2-0
  • WHNorway W2-0
  • DAAustria W0-0
  • WHAustria W5-1
  • WANorway W4-0

Head-to-head

6 meetings

Spain WrecordGermany W
2
3
1 draw

Goals

4-4

for each

Avg goals

1.3

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

17%

3+ goals

Spain W

Recent
WDWLLL
Wins 2Goals 4-4

Biggest win 3-0

Germany W

Recent
LDLWWW
Wins 3Goals 4-4

Biggest win 2-0

  • Spain W3-0Germany W
  • Germany W0-0Spain W
  • Germany W0-1Spain W
  • Spain W0-1Germany W
  • Germany W2-0Spain W
  • Germany W1-0Spain W

Managers

Sonia Bermudez

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Christian Wuck

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.