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UEFA Nations League - Women · Semi-finals · World

France W v Germany W

2-2Full time

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France W v Germany W: the model read

France W meet Germany W in the UEFA Nations League - Women semi-finals.

The baseline ratings are close, 1719 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 80% against 75%. Attacking output favors Germany W on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.4 per match.

France W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Republic of Ireland W, W 2-0 @ Poland W, D 1-1 v Netherlands W, L 1-2 @ Netherlands W.

Germany W are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Slovenia W, W 2-0 v Norway W, D 0-0 @ Austria W, W 5-1 v Austria W.

Germany W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: France W 2-2 Germany W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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France W

WLDWW14-4-2

Scored 2.35 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • WHRepublic of Ireland W1-0
  • WAPoland W2-0
  • DHNetherlands W1-1
  • LANetherlands W1-2
  • WHPoland W4-1

Germany W

WWDWW13-4-3

Scored 2.55 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 35%

  • WASlovenia W2-0
  • WHNorway W2-0
  • DAAustria W0-0
  • WHAustria W5-1
  • WANorway W4-0

Head-to-head

9 meetings

France WrecordGermany W
2
4
3 draws

Goals

10-13

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

56%

3+ goals

France W

Recent
DLDWLL
Wins 2Goals 10-13

Biggest win 2-1

Germany W

Recent
DWDLWW
Wins 4Goals 13-10

Biggest win 4-2

  • France W2-2Germany W
  • Germany W1-0France W
  • France W1-1Germany W
  • France W2-1Germany W
  • Germany W2-1France W
  • Germany W2-1France W
  • France W1-0Germany W
  • Germany W0-0France W
  • France W2-4Germany W

Managers

Laurent Bonadei

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Christian Wuck

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.