Auckland City v Coastal Spirit: the model read
Auckland City meet Coastal Spirit in the National League - National championship group - 11 at Kiwitea Street, Auckland. The model makes Auckland City the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% AUC, 28% draw, 30% COA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Auckland City, 65% against 50%. Attacking output favors Auckland City on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Auckland City at 59%; double chance reads Auckland City or draw 70%, Coastal Spirit or draw 58%.
Auckland City arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Fencibles United, W 3-0 v Takapuna, D 1-1 @ Wellington Olympic, W 3-0 v Coastal Spirit.
Coastal Spirit are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Christchurch United, L 1-5 v Nomads United, L 0-3 @ Auckland City, W 1-0 v Western Springs.
Auckland City hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Auckland City 3-0 Coastal Spirit.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
