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Third NL - Jug · South - 30 · Croatia

Primorac Biograd v HNK Zadar

1-2Full time· Gradski stadion Kazimir i Silvio, Biograd na Moru

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Primorac Biograd v HNK Zadar: the model read

Primorac Biograd meet HNK Zadar in the Third NL - Jug south - 30 at Gradski stadion Kazimir i Silvio, Biograd na Moru. The model makes HNK Zadar the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 23% PRI, 28% draw, 49% HNK.

HNK Zadar rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1443. Recent form leans HNK Zadar, 73% against 40%. Attacking output favors HNK Zadar on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans HNK Zadar at 68%; double chance reads Primorac Biograd or draw 51%, HNK Zadar or draw 77%.

Primorac Biograd arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v HNK Zadar, L 1-2 @ Omiš, L 0-2 @ Vodice, D 2-2 v Neretvanac Opuzen.

HNK Zadar are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Primorac Biograd, W 5-1 v Neretvanac Opuzen, W 1-0 @ Junak, W 2-1 v GOŠK Dubrovnik.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Primorac Biograd

LDLLL6-4-10

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 55%

  • LHHNK Zadar1-2
  • LAOmiš1-2
  • LAVodice0-2
  • DHNeretvanac Opuzen2-2
  • LAJunak0-1

HNK Zadar

WWWWW12-5-3

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • WAPrimorac Biograd2-1
  • WHNeretvanac Opuzen5-1
  • WAJunak1-0
  • WHGOŠK Dubrovnik2-1
  • WANeretva Metković2-0

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.