Bergantiños v Ourense CF: the model read
Bergantiños meet Ourense CF in the Copa Federacion quarter-finals at Estadio As Eiroas, Carballo. The model makes Bergantiños the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% BER, 32% draw, 32% OUR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 40%. Attacking output favors Bergantiños on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Bergantiños at 52%; double chance reads Bergantiños or draw 68%, Ourense CF or draw 65%.
Bergantiños arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Sámano, L 1-3 v UD Ourense, W 2-1 @ Real Oviedo II, L 0-1 v Sarriana.
Ourense CF are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Tenerife, D 0-0 @ CF Talavera, L 2-4 v Celta de Vigo II, D 2-2 @ Athletic Club II.
Ourense CF hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Bergantiños 0-2 Ourense CF.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output