Gremio Prudente U20 v Guarani U20: the model read
Gremio Prudente U20 meet Guarani U20 in the Paulista - U20 round of 16 at Estádio Paulo Constantino, Presidente Prudente, São Paulo. The model makes Guarani U20 the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 28% GRE, 29% draw, 43% GUA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guarani U20, 73% against 63%. Attacking output favors Guarani U20 on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Guarani U20 at 60%; double chance reads Gremio Prudente U20 or draw 57%, Guarani U20 or draw 72%.
Gremio Prudente U20 arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Ituano U20, L 1-3 v Água Santa U20, W 2-1 @ Referencia U20, W 3-2 v Tanabi SP U20.
Guarani U20 are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Osasco Audax U20, W 2-1 v Mauá U20, W 2-0 v Sfera U20, L 0-4 @ Palmeiras U20.
Guarani U20 hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Guarani U20 2-2 Gremio Prudente U20.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output