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A-League · Regular Season - 24 · Australia

Newcastle Jets v Adelaide United

1-1Full time· McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle· Referee: A. Kersey

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Newcastle Jets v Adelaide United: the model read

Newcastle Jets meet Adelaide United in the A-League regular season - 24 at McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle.

The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 63%. Attacking output favors Newcastle Jets on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.

Newcastle Jets arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Preston Lions, D 1-1 v Sydney, D 1-1 @ Sydney, W 4-0 v Central Coast Mariners.

Adelaide United are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Công An Nhân Dân, L 1-2 @ South Melbourne, W 2-0 @ Playford City Patriots, W 5-0 @ The Cove.

Adelaide United hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Adelaide United.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Newcastle Jets

DWDDL11-5-4

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 80%

  • LAPreston Lions2-3
  • DHSydney1-1
  • DASydney1-1
  • WHCentral Coast Mariners4-0
  • DAMelbourne Victory2-2

Adelaide United

LWWLL9-7-4

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 75%

  • LHCông An Nhân Dân0-2
  • LASouth Melbourne1-2
  • WAPlayford City Patriots2-0
  • WAThe Cove5-0
  • LHAuckland0-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Newcastle JetsrecordAdelaide United
4
5
1 draw

Goals

12-16

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Newcastle Jets

Recent
DWWWLL
Wins 4Goals 12-16

Biggest win 3-2

Adelaide United

Recent
DLLLWW
Wins 5Goals 16-12

Biggest win 3-1

  • Newcastle Jets1-1Adelaide United
  • Adelaide United2-3Newcastle Jets
  • Newcastle Jets2-1Adelaide United
  • Adelaide United1-2Newcastle Jets
  • Newcastle Jets0-1Adelaide United
  • Newcastle Jets0-1Adelaide United
  • Adelaide United3-1Newcastle Jets
  • Newcastle Jets2-4Adelaide United
  • Adelaide United0-1Newcastle Jets
  • Newcastle Jets0-2Adelaide United

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

Airton Andrioli

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.