CF Os Belenenses v Maritimo: the model read
CF Os Belenenses meet Maritimo in the Taça de Portugal round of 128 at Estádio Nacional, Lisbon. The model makes CF Os Belenenses the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% CF , 32% draw, 32% MAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 57%. Attacking output favors CF Os Belenenses on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans CF Os Belenenses at 53%; double chance reads CF Os Belenenses or draw 68%, Maritimo or draw 64%.
CF Os Belenenses arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Alverca, D 0-0 v Farense, L 0-1 @ Farense, W 3-1 v Mafra.
Maritimo are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Camacha, L 1-5 v Leixoes, W 2-0 v AVS, L 0-1 v Academica.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: CF Os Belenenses 2-0 Maritimo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
