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Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Group 9 - 34 · Spain

Motril v Atlético Porcuna

2-1Full time· Estadio Escribano Castilla, Motril

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Motril v Atlético Porcuna: the model read

Motril meet Atlético Porcuna in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 group 9 - 34 at Estadio Escribano Castilla, Motril.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors Motril on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Motril at 54%; double chance reads Motril or draw 69%, Atlético Porcuna or draw 63%.

Motril arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Arenas Armilla, L 0-1 @ Arenas Armilla, D 0-0 v Churriana Vega, D 1-1 @ Churriana Vega.

Atlético Porcuna are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Motril, W 1-0 v Torre del Mar, W 2-1 @ El Palo, L 2-3 v UD San Pedro.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Motril

WDDLD8-9-3

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • DHArenas Armilla1-1
  • LAArenas Armilla0-1
  • DHChurriana Vega0-0
  • DAChurriana Vega1-1
  • WHAtlético Porcuna2-1

Atlético Porcuna

LLWWL10-3-7

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • LAMotril1-2
  • WHTorre del Mar1-0
  • WAEl Palo2-1
  • LHUD San Pedro2-3
  • LAAlhaurino0-3

Managers

Manu del Moral

Spain · 41

In charge since 2025

Antonio Bueno

Head coach

In charge since 2024

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.